The Munger Approach to Life, Learning and Decision-Making
great appetite for hard work
incredible curiosity
patient demeanor
Charlie has an original, self-developed approach to life, learning and decision-making
- comprehensive analysis of internal workings and larger relevant ecosystem
- make big bets on the few things you are 100% sure of
- identify the obvious missteps, and avoid them at all costs
- only after identifying what to avoid, consider what to do
- avoid overconfidence, remember the system is far more complex than we can grasp
- the psychological factors are very important to consider
- multidisciplinary approach which uses mental models from all variety of disciplines
Munger's Investment evaluation process
; circle of competence : know where you are smart and where you are not. Stay were you are smart
stay within you circle of competence.
Intentionally develop you COC.
look for understandable, dominant franchise that can thrive in all market environments
does not rely on financial statements for the true health of the company
looks for management that is "able, trustworthy, and owner-oriented"
critical to understand the companies competitive advantage: i.e. the moat
- this includes an analysis of the factors that contribute to erosion of advantage over time
- few business survive over multiple generations
calculates intrinsic value to approximate true per share value
proper timing is also critical –> "prior to pulling the trigger" checklist
preparation is the measure of success, outcomes are not 100% controllable
"extreme patience combined with extreme decisiveness"
recommended reading
An investing principles checklist
Charlie strongly believes in using checklists!
- Risk: Always start by measuring risk, especially to one's reputation
- Independence: ignore the crowd, focus on the process
- Preparation: The only way to win is work, work, work, work
- Intellectual humility: knowing and staying with the circle of competence
- Analytical rigor: scientific method and use of effective checklists
- Allocation: proper allocation is the investors entire job
- Patience: don't act just to feel productive
- Decisiveness: luck is rare, act decisively when you have a great opportunity
- Change: be stubborn about continual growth and change
- Focus: keep things simple
The lollapalooza (cascading positive effects) follow preparation, discipline, patience, and decisiveness.